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  Uncertinity

  October 10, 2025

  This factor is different from instability. While many states suffer from coups, sudden revolutions or rebellions, external interventions, internal conflicts and elite wars, many other factors contribute to the uncertainty of the fates of many nations, [...]

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  Worsening

  October 10, 2025

  As mentioned in the section on Continuity, the Middle East is experiencing many ongoing conflicts between various state and non-state actors. Its conditions are unstable, and its future is uncertain, particularly regarding human and environmental [...]

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  Non-States Wars

  October 10, 2025

  There are many non-state actors in the Middle East, some of which have armed wings and can engage in conflict with other states, as well as with other non-state actors. The ideology of these actors [...]

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  Continuity

  October 10, 2025

  The Middle East is currently experiencing multiple conflicts involving various state and non-state actors. Its political and socio-economic conditions are unstable. Its future is uncertain. The Middle East consistently suffers from human crises, and more [...]

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  The lesson of the Iraq War isn’t Non-Intervention, it’s Incomplete Intervention.

  March 26, 2026

  (Iran 2026 should be compared to Iraq 1991, not Iraq 2003) Hemn Seyedi President Trump sees the Democrats’ rise to power in 2008 as a consequence of the Republicans’ losses in the unpopular wars in [...]